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Posted: Monday, February 15, 2010 - 2 comment(s) [ Comment ] - 0 trackback(s) [ Trackback ]

New marketing opportunity is here with higher commisions. If you are an agent in California it has been said 51% of the "pick a pay" loans were originated here with large balances. Resets and recasts have been put on hold due to the nature of our economy... but when they start to move these it could be a great sales surge. One caveat is they need buyers that can afford the homes even at sharp discount. Time will tell.

Full Story Here

Quoted "Dec. 17 (Bloomberg) -- Homeowners with mortgages of more than $1 million are defaulting at almost twice the U.S. rate and some are turning to so-called short sales to unload properties as stock-market losses and pay cuts squeeze wealthy borrowers.

“The rich aren’t as rich as they used to be,” said Alex Rodriguez, a Miami real estate agent with JM Group USA Inc., whose listings include a $2.9 million property marketed as a short sale because the price is less than the mortgage, leaving the bank with a loss. “People have reached the point where they can’t afford the carrying expenses of a $2 million home.”

Payments on about 12 percent of mortgages exceeding $1 million were 90 days or more overdue in September, compared with 6.3 percent on loans less than $250,000 and 7.4 percent on all U.S. mortgages, according to data from First American CoreLogic Inc., a Santa Ana, California-based research firm. The rate for mortgages above $1 million was 4.7 percent a year earlier.

As defaults on the biggest mortgages rise, borrowers such as Steve Holzknecht are turning to short sales to exit loans that now are larger than the market value of the house. In such a transaction, the lender agrees to accept less than a 100 percent payoff on a mortgage to expedite the property’s sale.

Holzknecht, 53, last month cut the asking price for his 7,280-square-foot home in Kirkland, Washington, by $550,000 to $1.25 million, lower than the balances of his two mortgages. Holzknecht, the former owner of Four Suns Inc., a Seattle luxury homebuilder that went out of business two months ago, constructed the Craftsman-style home in 2000. He declined to identify his lenders or the amount he owes. "

Posted: Monday, September 21, 2009 - 3 comment(s) [ Comment ] - 0 trackback(s) [ Trackback ]

I've been trying to figure out where home prices will be and what will drive price appreciation going forward.

Reading about the government planning to hopefully stop buying MBS's says the rates should rise.. will it, probably. They have been able to keep the demand side up when others want to hold out for higher yeilds.. How long they can continue to do this and if they extend it will be 64K question.. Yes we have been borrowing to buy treasuries and MBS's and repay ourselves back the interest with the same or more borrowed money.  wha.. $-)

As far as price appreciation going forward we will either need to return to speculation lending like we had that got us into this mess or maybe a cheap dollar will bring in foreign buyers. Doesc anybody think incomes will increase faster than Taxes(fees, levies,mandates,etc)

Working out affordability and the fact lending is based on full docs(affordability) and debt to income ratios leads me to figure median home prices based on median income. Working this backwards is a stark realization..

Any thoughts..?


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